Effects of urbanization and global climate change on regional climate in the Pearl River Delta and thermal comfort implications
Publication in refereed journal

替代計量分析
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其它資訊
摘要Urbanization and climate change are affecting regional climate; therefore, thermal comfort should be fully understood, especially from a public health perspective. We applied a climate model driven by a combination of land-cover development and two representative concentration pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) to predict composite climatic adjustments in the Pearl River Delta (PRD) in China. Our findings showed that a 10% increase in urban land cover can cause a 0.11 K increase in surface temperature in PRD, and urban temperature will rise by 0.15–0.21 K because of global climate change alone. We found that urbanization has marginal effects on thermal comfort despite increasing surface temperature in PRD. Moreover, global climate change will increase the frequency at which temperatures exceed critical temperatures reported in the literature and the extreme heat stress level (95th percentile of baseline year). Our findings offer a scientific basis for understanding heat-related health risk and climate change adaptation in urban areas.
出版社接受日期10.01.2019
著者Yongli Wang, Allen Chan, Gabriel Ngar‐Cheung Lau, Qingxiang Li, Yuanjian Yang, Steve Hung‐Lam Yim
期刊名稱International Journal of Climatology
出版年份2019
月份5
卷號39
期次6
出版社Wiley
頁次2984 - 2997
國際標準期刊號0899-8418
電子國際標準期刊號1097-0088
語言美式英語

上次更新時間 2020-21-10 於 02:24