Data Truncation Bias, Loss Firms, and Accounting Anomalies
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AbstractEx post trimming of extreme returns observations that are not data errors causes spurious inferences in tests of market efficiency and behavioral explanations for anomalies. Trimming causes a downward truncation bias in estimated mean returns that is stronger in ex ante subsamples with more loss firms and in which return distributions are more right-skewed. There is an asymmetric U-shaped relation between return right-skewness and loss frequency across deciles of negative return predictors (Accruals, Delta NOA, and NOA), and a downward sloping relationship for positive return predictors (CFO and FCF). Consequently, a least-trimmed square (LTS) 1 percent deletion of returns induces a spurious inverted-U-shaped relation between returns and negative predictors, and an exaggerated positive relation for positive predictors. Thus, the resulting trimmed relations do not reject behavioral explanations for these anomalies. Trimming also induces a spurious loss anomaly. These findings highlight that in return prediction studies, observations should not be deleted based upon the values of the dependent variable, only based upon clearly identified data errors.
All Author(s) ListTeoh SH, Zhang YL
Journal nameAccounting Review
Volume Number86
Issue Number4
PublisherAmerican Accounting Association
Pages1445 - 1475
LanguagesEnglish-United Kingdom
Keywordsaccruals; anomalies; behavioral finance; cash flows from operations; data trimming; free cash flows; market efficiency; net operating assets; truncation bias
Web of Science Subject CategoriesBusiness & Economics; Business, Finance; BUSINESS, FINANCE

Last updated on 2020-04-04 at 10:44