Decentralized Provision of Renewable Predictions within a Virtual Power Plant
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AbstractThe mushrooming of distributed energy resources turns end-users from passive price-takers to active market-participants. To manage proactive end-users efficiently, virtual power plant (VPP) as an innovative concept emerges. It can provide some necessary information to help consumers improve their profits and trade with the electricity market on behalf of them. One important information desired by consumers is the prediction of renewable outputs inside this VPP. Presently, most VPPs run in a centralized manner, which means the VPP predicts the outputs of all the renewable sources it manages and provides the predictions to every consumer who buys this information. We prove that providing predictions can boost social total surplus. However, with more consumers and renewables in the market, this centralized scheme needs extensive data communication and may jeopardize the privacy of individual stakeholders. In this paper, we propose a decentralized prediction provision algorithm in which consumers from each subregion only buy local predictions and exchange information with the VPP. Convergence is proved under a mild condition, and the demand gap between centralized and decentralized schemes is proved to have zero expectation and bounded variance. Illustrative examples show that the variance of this gap decreases with more consumers and higher uncertainty.
Acceptance Date02/11/2020
All Author(s) ListYue Chen, Tongxin Li, Changhong Zhao, Wei Wei
Journal nameIEEE Transactions on Power Systems
Year2021
Month5
Volume Number36
Issue Number3
PublisherIEEE
Pages2652 - 2662
ISSN0885-8950
eISSN1558-0679
LanguagesEnglish-United States

Last updated on 2021-13-05 at 01:25